February 21 - Fear of an economic slowdown in South Africa has taken hold of the
local life insurance industry, as a result of rising interest rates, a shrinking
lending market, and more stringent regulations governing insurance intermediary
commissions.
According to Andre Dreyer, business development actuary for RGA Reinsurance
Company, South Africa's life insurance industry is preparing for a further
tightening cycle due to the above factors, coupled with recent fears of
decreasing economic growth as a result of SA's electricity supply issues.
'The SA life insurance industry will be severely impacted by a recession when
disposable income decreases in many South African households. This will
result in monthly life insurance premiums being eliminated from many household budgets. Plus,
new life business sales will also decrease', Dreyer explained.
Dreyer also speculated that life insurance claims experience could also
start to deteriorate. This would be as a result of price cross-subsidies being laid bare when the
balance of risks in an insurance portfolio changes, as higher lapses
may not necessarily be experienced across the board.
'We could also expect a rise in fraudulent life insurance claims, as times of
recession invariably results in an increase in disability claims,' he said.
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